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Forecast Skill Horizon

The lead time at which a forecast stops performing better than a chosen reference, such as climatology or persistence. The horizon depends on the weather variable, location, spatial scale, time averaging and the metric used to define useful skill.

English

Forecast Skill Horizon

Arabic

أفق مهارة التوقع

First appeared in

Weather May Have a 129-Day Ultimate Limit, but Useful Forecasts Are Far Shorter

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